Geopolitical Risk Assessment
Rigorous analysis of political, regulatory, and security risks across key markets. We identify the threats that matter to your operations and investments.
Clarity in a World
of Complexity
Independent geopolitical risk analysis and strategy advisory for companies and individuals navigating an uncertain global landscape.
Leadership
Jean-Claude Knebeler
Founder & Managing Director
Former Ambassador of Luxembourg to Russia
Former Consul General, New York
Harvard Kennedy School · LSE · ENA France
SFC Licensed RO (personal capacity) · DMCC Registered (Dubai)
Over two decades at the intersection of diplomacy, international trade, and geopolitical strategy. A career diplomat who has operated at the highest levels of government-to-government engagement across some of the world's most consequential markets.
Read Full BiographyWhat We Do
Navigating Geopolitical Complexity
We provide independent, contrarian analysis that cuts through the noise. Our work is grounded in realist principles and a deep understanding of how power, trade, and risk intersect.
Strategic Advisory
Tailored counsel on navigating complex geopolitical environments. From market entry to crisis management, we provide actionable guidance grounded in realist analysis.
Trade & Sanctions Navigation
Practical guidance on trade flows, regulatory shifts, and compliance landscapes. We help clients find opportunity where others see only constraint.
Bespoke Research
In-depth, commissioned research on specific geographies, sectors, or scenarios. Delivered with the rigour of academic analysis and the clarity of executive briefings.
Live Intelligence
Real-Time Crisis Monitoring
Our Crisis Monitor provides live intelligence on active geopolitical conflicts — drawing from Western, Global South, and regional media sources in twelve languages, including Farsi, Hebrew, and Turkish.
Real-time multi-language news aggregation
Situation overviews updated every 30 minutes
Market impact tracking across 15 instruments
Conflict mapping, maritime chokepoint monitoring, and scenario analysis
Currently Tracking
LIVEUS — Israel — Iran Conflict Corridor
Brent Crude
$98.55
+1.05%
Gold (XAU/USD)
$4,815
+0.0%
Threat Level
CRITICAL
News Sources
12
languages
Latest
Situation overview updated every 30 minutes
Multi-language news from Western, Persian, Hebrew, Turkish, Arabic, Russian, Chinese sources
Stay Informed
Daily Intelligence Briefing
Receive a concise intelligence briefing every morning at 8:00 AM Dubai time — situation assessment, key developments, risk trajectory, and market implications.
Delivered daily at 8:00 AM Dubai time
Available in 10 languages
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Our Approach
Contrarian by Nature,
Rigorous by Design
In a world saturated with consensus thinking, we take a different path. Our analysis challenges prevailing narratives, questions assumptions, and seeks the ground truth beneath the headlines.
Based in Dubai — at the crossroads of East and West — we bring a genuinely global perspective to every engagement. Our clients value independence, intellectual honesty, and practical insight.
About Our FirmReady to See Beyond the Consensus?
Whether you need a one-time assessment or ongoing advisory, we are here to provide the clarity your decisions demand.